Job Opening

Posting Title: Consultant on Macroeconometric Modelling and Simulation Tools
Department/Office: Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia
Duty Station: BEIRUT
Posting Period: 29 December 2021 - 04 January 2022
Job Opening Number: 21-Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia-171662-Consultant
Staffing Exercise N/A
United Nations Core Values: Integrity, Professionalism, Respect for Diversity
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Result of Service

The consultant will deliver the following:
a) Update of five single-country models and econometric software codes;
b) Excel files of the results of simulations representing:
o The business as usual and forecasting scenarios
o Simulations and projections
c) Capacity development training (five-days) on using macroeconomic models for simulations.
All outputs will remain intellectual property of ESCWA.

Work Location

Lebanon

Expected duration

The assignment duration is 44 days (2 months).

Duties and Responsibilities

The consultancy is an extension to the on-going work on producing single country models. The consultant will produce updates of the models for Jordan, Tunisia, Morocco, Lebanon and Iraq, based on the modified WEFM single country model structure developed for ESCWA member States.
The five single country models will be analysed for simulations and forecasting related to enhancing social expenditure and their reallocation, debt sustainability, fiscal-monetary coordination, and their impact on growth in post-Covid period, which will contribute to updating follow up of scenarios on enhancing social expenditure and fiscal sustainability.
In addition, the consultant will provide a capacity development training (five-days) on practical application of simulations using E-Views software to representatives of member States (at least in one capacity development workshop).
In this context, the consultant will be required to:
• Produce by updating the single country macro-economic model forecastings and simulations for selected five countries (with updated WEFM model of DESA, as available in the first quarter of 2022), in discussion with ESCWA staff:
o Scenario forecasts of key macroeconomic indicators
o Simulations including alternative fiscal policy choices (that could improve allocative efficiency of social expenditure and have a higher multiplier effect on growth)
o Simulations using policy mix (such as considering rules on fiscal / debt/ inflation)
o Other relevant scenarios
• Capacity development training (five-days) on using macroeconomic models for simulations relating to social expenditure and fiscal sustainability.

Qualifications/special skills

Skills: Knowledge of economic development issues of Arab countries is an advantage.
Academic Qualifications: Advanced university degree (Master's degree or equivalent) in economics, econometrics or related field. A first-level university degree in combination with qualifying experience may be accepted in lieu of the advanced university degree.
Experience: Minimum of fifteen years of progressively responsible experience in analyzing macroeconomic policy issues, particularly macro econometric modeling and forecasting exercises, is required. Publication in reputed journals in this field is desirable. Familiarity with the World Economic and Forecasting model is desirable.
Language: Excellent command of English is required.

No Fee

THE UNITED NATIONS DOES NOT CHARGE A FEE AT ANY STAGE OF THE RECRUITMENT PROCESS (APPLICATION, INTERVIEW MEETING, PROCESSING, OR TRAINING). THE UNITED NATIONS DOES NOT CONCERN ITSELF WITH INFORMATION ON APPLICANTS’ BANK ACCOUNTS.

Sorry, this job opening is no longer available.
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